I just wonder why the author thinks that Americas debt would be a protective factor in preventing a conflict with China. Adding to that, some of these hubs house core elements of critical infrastructure, including major defence installations (among them bases and headquarters). The petrodollar became the currency in which oil and most other goods were traded internationally, requiring every central bank and major corporation to hold a lot of dollars and cementing the greenbacks status as the worlds reserve currency. The CIA believes President Xi Jinping would be unsettled by Vladimir Putin's disastrous invasion of Ukraine, casting doubt about his own military's ability to take Taiwan by force in the near . I thought, Censorship is never innocent, made worse for its strained good intentions. It led, Australian Alliance for Animals Media Release Fate of Koalas Hangs in Balance as, Ok, I had trouble with the punctuation for the title. China has moved in a truly global direction and is on a pathway that was triggered, and then further stimulated, by Premier Deng Xiaoping who started the process in the mid-1980s. Back in the 1970s, the US cut a deal with Saudi Arabia at the time the worlds biggest oil producer calling for the US to prop up the kingdoms corrupt monarchy in return for a Saudi pledge that it would accept only dollars in return for oil. Thats the bizarre claim used in a political advert from the United Australia Party. But the US has strategic energy interests in Australia so perhaps they will not abandon us or sell us out with their own self interests are at stake. With all the talk of hurting Russia economically a Western European expert said theres the very real chance Russia will turn to China, and China wont hesitate to step into the breech. We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. On April 25, the symbolic date of Anzac Day, when Australia honors its war dead, newly appointed Defense Minister Peter Dutton said a conflict with China over Taiwan shouldn't "be discounted,". I kind of see it from the opposite angle. Similarly, the PLAs Airborne Corps lack air lift capacity for long distance air assault operations. When it comes to assessing a countrys fighting potential on a comparative basis, a number of major contributing factors needs to be taken into account. Nuh still something wrong. This factor, in the first instance is where there are ongoing and developing difficulties. Chinas Per-Capita GDP has Led to a Drastic Reduction in Poverty., http://www.gallup.com/poll/166565/one-five-worldwide-living-extreme-poverty.aspx, [12] Jemima Garrett and staff. From the big bad Toniorists. That sounds frightening!!! Drop file here. Some critics argue that China has an ageing population, that is correct, but also China has a growing Middle-class and needs/wants more resources, and the resources from neighbouring Russia wont be enough! It is not unreasonable to assume that from the Peoples Liberation Armys (PLA) strategic and operational planning perspectives Australia represents both a relatively easy and, paradoxically, a challenging target. As insulted as the Chinese community feels toward Palmer, his outburst was attributed to his frustration with the legal system, his dealings with some Chinese business people and when it all imploded, he drew in other societal elements. From a geo-strategic perspective it is unlikely that this would happen in the next decade as China does not have the support facilities in the region for a limited invasion as the most vulnerable impact points, the west/northwest of Australia would not be able to be adequately reinforced after an initial foray. In accomplishing such occupations and political tenets, the West has been able to decree the way in which the world aside from the Russian Federation and China must operate. In case of the PLA, the following needs to be factored in. Have a friend who was Ambassador to China and it would not take much to regain their respect. Darwin is narrow-minded, provincial, over-priced, and un-competitive! And moreover, for the US Australia would not be the only game in town. Reflecting on this statement, a significant part of the reason the US lost the Vietnam War is that it was not the only game in town[13] as it was beset with domestic civil strife, had ongoing issues with the Soviet Union-Cuba alliance, and had European Cold War commitments as well as the space race. An Australia-China conflict will also adhere to the not the only game in town principle for the US and for Australians to believe that the US will see a conflict in the A-P region as important enough to warrant an immediate response is simply wrong. The Xiaoping era would be the first quantum leap into a globalized world and would signal significant domestic and international changes this was defined by Xiaoping as socialism with a Chinese character.[9] China was essentially, thrust into a Western world and it would over time exploit the free market, gain international political astuteness, and in the late-1990s, begin to stamp its geo-strategic authority on the world: the A-P region is its first port-of-call. 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CAMP FOSTER, Okinawa A former Japanese military officer recently made waves after saying he believes China plans to invade and annex Taiwan by 2025 and Okinawa by 2045. Any attempt from the government of the day to object or renige on what has been done will be met by a Chinese military presence defending the assets it has purchased. War with China is just a silly sensationalist drivel. Their is a greater chance of Having a War with Japan again then ever having one with China. The short-tempered outburst by Senator Palmer on the Australian Broadcasting Corporation Q&A program, to be sure was just that, an outburst. Gosh and golly. "Our judgement at least is that (China's . Historical Statistics. Writing in the national business daily, the Australian Financial Review, international relations specialist James Curran asks a different question.What lessons should Australia draw from Vladimir Putin's invasion for managing a comparable crisis in Taiwan? Dr Strobe Driver reports. Who cares as long as we have god on our side, and Captain Catholic. This in turn has allowed the US to build a global military empire, a cradle-to-grave entitlement system, and a credit-based consumer culture, without having to worry about where to find the funds. Now, try to find out where all our Gold and other more precious commodities have been going and then why our Conservative US backed Governments have sold out our Reserves? China's murky role in the genesis and spread of the novel coronavirus has disturbed the entire world. Australia also has rare earths and God knows what PNG has still yet? Simply unbelievable that our parliament is now dominated by self serving [insert adjective]. The World Economy. Thankyou for your comments, very robust and informative for me. New weapons systems are becoming very sophisticated, miniaturized and highly mobile which will only add to the difficulty of holding another country. [1] Jacqui Lambie refuses to apologise for warning of Chinese invasion. AAP/The Australian. Nations that acceded to British demands, either as a protectorate that was accorded all of the security and safety Britain could muster or, alternately, Britain used force. The Amnesia Express had a good line in a lyric of a song about defining the difference of Peace to the present state of readiness to war. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it; it may only need to establish a blockade which, with the world's largest coast guard, 10,000-tonne "maritime safety" vessels, and . 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China could invade Taiwan later this year, top Navy officer warns By Caitlin Doornbos October 21, 2022 12:14pm Updated 0 of 58 secondsVolume 0% 00:00 00:58 China could invade Taiwan as. But the nation is not in a good place. On the other side of the ledger we have people who deride any concerns as alarmist, the fish bowl syndrome. New York: Free Press, 1992. A war . The US, their nemesis in the Great Game, is diminished. I wonder why the Chinese are bulding the bases in the south china sea now. This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. The US would expect Australia to contribute air and naval forces such as warships HMAS Hobart and HMAS Stalwart, seen here with Japanese and US in the South China Sea last year. Here is an article by Chomsky that should open a few eyes. On the other hand, China deploys a comprehensive capability to engage in protracted offensive cyber operations against its adversaries. However, the relevant issue is invasions gain results which inevitably have to be repelled, defused or accepted. Their own currencies gain prestige, giving their governments more political and military muscle. No Australian Government can or could begin this journey to peace as all the present shitstems operations are to fuel war cause war is big business. The progress became an ever-upward spiral in which the dictums of modern nation-statehood that is, economic growth equalling stable investment environments for Western enterprises were ones that offered ongoing prosperity; and the middle-class continuum. Your email address will not be published. It is pertinent to ask what will drive such an outcome. The last time the PLA was in active combat was in 1979, when China fought a brief border war with Vietnam. We pay our respect to Elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. Free registration to the ADM Headlines email newsletter: Stay informed with the latest in the business of defence. Youll like it even more knowing that your donation will help us to keep up the good fight. On 23 April this year, Chinese President Xi Jinping showed off the PLA Navy's production capacity by commissioning at a single ceremony the Hainan amphibious assault ship, the Changzheng-18 nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine, and the Dalian destroyer. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Beyond incompetence and corruption Untroubled by the burdens of either wit or intelligence the embaldened tubermensch who, for now, leads the, Alan Tudge is leaving Parliament. But if Russia, China and India decide to start trading oil in their own currencies or in gold then the petrodollar becomes just one of several major currencies. The question of fuel deposits, which has to be replenished regularly, remains. As at 2001 Chinas population comprised approximately 21% of the world. Long March Out of China. The Australian, Melbourne: Murdoch Media, 19 August, 2014, 9. Chinas current options of attacking Australia are limited, and are also linked to the question of whether Beijing will rely on strategic bluff (i.e whether it assumes no retaliation will come its way). Although detailed information about national stockpiles of munitions, critical spares, and fuel is not wholly open-source it is logical to expect that the ADF holds sufficient resources to engage in high tempo large scale operations for a certain period of time. Given the absence of layered air defence capability (AD) in the ADFs order of battle, including long-range AD systems, in theory it can wage long-range missile strikes against our key land targets (defence installations, strategic surveillance communication facilities, possibly large population centres), even though it may risk escalation to an open confrontation with the United States. The truth of the matter resides in the history of the US as per WWII being a European war until the bombing of Pearl Harbor forced the US to face the realities of the conflict, and the undeniable reality is that an Australia-China military collision would not necessarily be an urgent priority for the US. That's according to Dr Malcolm Davis, a senior analyst from the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), who is an expert on defence strategy and capability issues. Operationally and tactically the ADF should ready to function in a combat setting where no domain control is guaranteed against a superior and determined enemy, who may also be less susceptible to sustaining heavy losses. Selling more and more of our assets (mineral companies and FREEHOLD farming land) is moving the country to a checkmate position with China controling its assets. The present Lambie redneck doctrine of Invasion by China or Indonesia harks back to Menzies and his yellow peril election Arrows and like the Menzies arrows Lambies redneck doctrine is just a ploy to stay elected. The Islands that Japan is arguing over were residue of second world war negotiations in which the pre-war possessions should eventually return to China. China to INVADE Australia? The island of about 25 million people, backed by the US and Japan, broke away from the mainland in 1949 when the losers of its civil war fled Mao Zedong's brutal communist regime. 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